most overrated running backs of all time

And the Titans got worse this offseason, losing wide receiver Corey Davis, tight end Jonnu Smith, cornerback Adoree' Jackson, and defensive end Jadeveon Clowney. But the Broncos re-signed Melvin Gordon III, which cannot be interpreted as anything short of a re-commitment to a 50/50 committee. But regardless of quarterback, Kamara is unlikely to return to his 80 reception ways. Phil Alexander: Beware of drafting running backs based solely on their perceived opportunity. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + Instead, McKissic is a receiving-centric option where targets will be at a premium considering the competition in Washington, which was not present in the 2020 version with notable wide receiver additions Curtis Samuel, Adam Humphries, and Dyami Brown. Now, these guys are treated with all the respect of disposable diapers. I understand the upside, but I don't want to take a huge miss if I'm drafting in Week 1. But drafting him as a high-upside No. Avoid. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback will gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. He had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). By the end of the year, that may change, but Etienne will be a change-of-pace and gadget player who might earn flex value this year until then. Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. Phil Alexander: What makes people so confident the Dolphins backfield is not a committee? Again, these are not the stats of an elite RB. When you select Dobbins in your drafts, you are banking on the hyper-efficiency of his limited touches to continue. However, with Smith out of town, gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick now under center, and sophomore running back Antonio Gibson expected to step up, McKissic isnt someone that will have much value in most fantasy leagues. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. 9 Tim Brown Via nfl.com I was one of many who publicly voiced outrage over the fact that Tim Brown had to wait until 2015 get his Hall of Fame honor. The Giants offensive line, playcalling, and quarterback play give us no faith that they can help create fantasy overachievers. Its easy and lazy to make comparisons to "Todd Gurley under Sean McVay," but that hope is pushing him into a tier of running backs that he does not belong. Green Bay seems to like A.J. Jason Wood: Jacobs was the only projected Raiders offensive starter to play in the Hall of Fame game, which should be a blaring red flag for how much new head coach Josh McDaniels values Jacobs as a centerpiece. It appears as if theres a change of guard happening in San Fransisco. Marcus Allen 15. The addition of James Conner, plus the knowledge that Kyler Murray could steal goal-line carries, also adds a bit of skepticism. He feasted on unsustainable opportunities and a soft schedule. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were both chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). Jason Wood: Sometimes fate aligns, and that's what happened for Mike Davis last year in Carolina. The notorious "Frankenstein" graphic did him no favors. Never a good idea. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. 20 20. Marshall Faulk 7. Jeff Haseley: The Dolphins have a three-headed approach to the running back position this year. James is the more physically gifted player. Ryan Hester: Even before he played double-digit snaps in the most meaningless of all meaningless preseason games, Jacobs was a solid fade. Simpson 13. Johnson was once a big name at the running back position and is still getting drafted based on that name and past production. This was largely in line with his previous year's 10.7 per game which allowed him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. He's playing for his fifth team in seven seasons and has never been an instinctive runner. The 4.29 ADY by the Steelers offensive line would be tied for 8th place in the NFL in 2009. But, man, there are all sorts of asterisks to add to that description. 25 Running Backs Overrated Players 10 Quarterbacks 12 Tight Ends 23 Wide Receivers 25 Running Backs Deep Sleepers 9 Quarterbacks 11 Tight Ends 15 Wide Receivers 13 Running Backs The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Dave Kluge: Sure, youre not giving up any crazy draft capital to get J.D. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB10. Gaskin's current draft position is indicative of him being the top back in Miami, and it's not a foregone conclusion that he is. Barry Sanders 3. Earl Campbell 9. Unlike Lindsay, Williams can supplant Gordon at the goal line, and there's some possibility that Williams takes over the backfield right away. Unfortunately, the odds are stacked against Kamara repeating as the best player in fantasy football. Projecting a fourth-round pick to take over the backfield would be fine if there was evidence that this was happening. And in fact, some managers are drafting him to be in their fantasy starting lineups in Week 1. Deion Sanders tops the list of overrated cornerbacks. Mostert is now 29 years old and has the highest draft position of anyone in this stable of capable running backs. We've seen J.D. He's a workout warrior - I get that, but whether or not he recovers immediately from this injury is yet to be seen, and because there is a doubt, he's someone I am avoiding at nearly all costs. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. Jamal Lewis 18. At times he looked like the future back Detroit has been looking for this century. He also is a touchdown liability -- he's scored 5, 6, and 4 touchdowns in three of his four seasons (11 the other season), which had led to finishing outside the Top 25 each of those years. Ben Cummins: Robinson was an awesome story in 2020 as he just kept producing while seeing 21.43 opportunities per game (6th most in the league) from Weeks 1-16. No one can take away his heroics stepping in for Christian McCaffrey, and he was rewarded in the offseason when Atlanta presumably signed him to be new coach Arthur Smith's feature back. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time It's not that they aren't great players, they just aren't everything we've been led to believe. Taylor can be a rock-solid option and still be pecked away with Hines and Mack enough to be more in the RB10-15 range. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Robinsons workload will dramatically decrease this season, and drafters arent taking that into account as much as they should. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. His retirement all but guarantees some drop-off in Kamara's receiving numbers regardless of whether Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill is named the Saints starting quarterback. 5 / 30. most overrated running backs of all time. But you do have to attribute some of his success to his top 10 run blocking. Matt Waldman: Many of my peers at Footballguys are worshippers of draft capital as a predictor of talent. I can't see Mostert getting enough work to justify his current ADP. Quarterback Lamar Jackson will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. In addition, teammate Gus Edwards just signed a two-year, $10M contract extension in June, so he isnt going anywhere any time soon. They will be pass-dominant inside the five-yard line, which doesn't help Edwards-Helaire's fantasy stock. Michael Carter, NY Jets | Consensus Rankings RB37 | Consensus Projections RB36. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. The Ravens have also continued to trust Gus Edwards and have kept the backfield intact as a true timeshare. In addition, Antonio Gibson finished the year banged up and ceding snaps to McKissic. There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. Give me Chris Carson or Josh Jacobs in a similar draft range with stronger probabilities to hit as a top-10 option. I am a heretic in that regard. The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. I definitely do not want the most expensive option here (Carter), but Coleman and Johnson are arbitrage plays. However, James Robinson is a better runner than Etienne at this point. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback is going to gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Not to mention I expect this offense to throw the ball a lot more than last year due to the addition of Russell Wilson and new Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett. History and time have helped make Perry one of the most overrated defensive players of all time. Single Tevin Coleman is one of those veteran thorns in the sides of young backs to garner touches. Terrell Davis, Edgerrin James, Reggie Bush, Rashard Mendenhall, Jamaal Charles, and recently, Dalvin Cook all took over a season of play to return to form if they did at all. The Commanders made it a priority of theirs to bring back J.D. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. He also spent his first 5 years on the saints, where he got 20 carries exactly 2 times there. 31 Unsung Running Backs in NFL History By Paul Ladewski on August 3, 2021 Chris O'Meara / AP Photo Before franchise quarterbacks took pro football hostage, there was something known as franchise running backs. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. 3 back on the depth chart before the first preseason game. Back up Share project Close 2022 hyundai sonata limited interior; what is birkenstock oiled leather; bates high gloss duty oxford; most overrated running backs of all time. Here are the NFL running backs with the most career touchdown runs over 50 yards (based on stats through 2016). Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB22. If he is still on the opening day roster, his workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. LaDainian Tomlinson 6. I'll pass on Barkley at cost. Anthony Amico: The story with Gibson is somewhat similar to that of Jacobs but with a proof of concept already complete. The next season he hit bottom with a knee injury that damaged his ACL, MCL, and meniscus. Without the volume, it is going to be difficult to get decent fantasy numbers. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. Jameis Winston is a downfield passer, and Hill would rather run than check down. Fred Taylor Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. Brady is known for being the only quarterback in history to win 7 Super Bowls, and is often considered one of the best quarterbacks of all time. Jeff Haseley: It's easy to succumb to the notion that Saquon Barkley is one of the best running backs in the league. Overall: 98 and 96. Victoria Geary: Dobbins is an elite talent on the best rushing offense in the NFL. Tarik Cohen, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB49 | Consensus Projections RB47. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his climbing ADP. Drew Davenport: The memories of Johnson dominating in Arizona are still following him into this offseason. Gaskin is a nice player, but the signings by this staff the last two offseasons say they don't have confidence that Gaskin is their guy. Davis has changed teams five times in the last three seasons. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB30. Finally, Sanders has continued fumbling and dropping passes in camp -- problems that plagued him last season. McKissic returns from injury to his role as the pass-catching back, and Washington also drafted Brian Robinson Jr in the third round. Some running backs, such as Chris Johnson this year, are a full 2.0 YPC over their offensive lines ADY. His current draft price is almost his upside. Victoria Geary: The Ravens have "made it a point of emphasis" to get Dobbins more looks in the passing game for 2021, but we know coach speak isn't very trustworthy during the offseason. His current draft price is almost his upside. Nobody should ever try to run like Barry Sanders, because they will never be Barry Sanders. While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. Andy Hicks: When looking at the Falcons backfield, it is clear there is no one currently there to challenge Mike Davis to start the season. His lack of use as a runner has to be a concern. Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. James Brimacombe: Once Kenyan Drake was out of the picture, we shot Edmonds up the draft board naturally. Jonathan Morris: Gibson was already someone I was worried about getting enough volume to be drafted at his current ADP. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. The current regime did not select Robinson. The Raiders have a lot of diverse depth with several different pass catchers, speed backs, and bruisers at the running back position for Jacobs to be drafted at his current ADP. The additions of Mike Boone and Javonte Williams haven't done anything to dispel this idea. Andy Hicks: If people are using a fourth or fifth-round pick on Myles Gaskin, they will end up disappointed. If Robinson claims goal line work, there is an upward battle for returning a value in his ADP. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB20. He was used more as a receiver than anything. Worst of all, he is now playing on the Houston Texans, who have no identity on offense heading into the season. Christian McCaffery and Nick Chubb, running backs. Gaskin may be the best receiver of the trio, but Ahmed isn't far behind. The uncertainty of Fournette's touch volume will make it hard to start him with confidence throughout the season, so a late-sixth-round ADP seems steep. If you look at Bettis total career marks, you will see that he is 5th on the all time rushing yards list and 10th in TDs. Crimson Tide skill players have been pretty good coming into the NFL recently, and Robinson's early start to camp has been generating buzz. Thurman Thomas 14. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. Emmitt Smith 4. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB39 | Consensus Projections RB47. 24 Overrated RBs. Leave him there for the next guy to take him. And Hill is only touchable due to the cheat code rushing factor for quarterbacks. But career stats shouldnt have much emphasis on them for that reason. . Think about that for a moment. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB26. In 2019, the Lions tried to steal him away with a restricted free agent offer. This should be a fair competition, considering that Miami is changing its scheme this year. Eric Dickerson 8. James Brimacombe: I view Melvin Gordon III this season a lot like I viewed Leonard Fournette in Jacksonville last offseason. Andy Hicks: D'Andre Swift had a patchy rookie season. The only other way for one of them to achieve high-end RB1 value would be an injury that allows the other to see an increased workload. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. As a rookie, Montgomery was a disappointment, averaging just 10.7 fantasy points per game. Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. Brown never stopped earning playing time for the Rams despite the team investing early draft capital at the position. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB19. Henry has never caught more than 19 passes in a season, and that limited production as a receiver is an issue. Henderson was arguably the best blocking fullback during the late 90s, paving the way for nine 1,000 yard rushers in his 12 years in Green Bay. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Jason Wood: Williams has the talent to be a top-10 fantasy back for years. Theyre going to be one of the worst teams in NFL History. It's not entirely his fault. Gibson was even in the game after Robinson was out. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Mckissic, and there was talk of rookie Brian Robinson Jr taking on the short yardage work. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup Derrick Henry, Tennessee | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB4. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. Jonathan Morris: As soon as Josh McDaniels came into the picture as the new head coach of the Raiders, my valuation of Jacobs immediately went down. Unfortunately for him, the team replaced the coaching staff that he impressed and signed veteran Carlos Hyde and drafted Travis Etienne in the first round. The fact is, he never . Most Overrated QB: Tom Brady 1 of 6 J.D. Malcolm Brown has also been an underrated commodity for some time now and gets a shot to compete with Gaskin for significant playing time. Sep 20, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; Carolina . Barry Sanders - 15, averaged one 50-plus-yard TD every 204 carries. At others, he made mistakes and was underused. Etienne's selection early in the late first signals he should have an immediate opportunity, especially with a new coaching staff in place. Unfortunately, he needs to stay hyper-efficient on the ground to stay fantasy relevant, as Ravens running backs have gotten a 70/30 carry split with Jackson over the last three years. Top 10 Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. Jamal Lewis rushed for nearly 3,400 yards in the first two seasons back from his ACL tear. John Riggins 19. I'm out. His career marks are high because he played long (13 yrs) and was consistent. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB9 | Consensus Projections RB9. I was reading an article the other day about the greatest power backs of all time and Jerome Bettis was third on the list (right behind Jim Brown and Larry Csonka and right ahead of Earl Campbell). Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB22. Sigmund Bloom: Swift is surely more likely than Jamaal Williams to be the hot hand in the Detroit backfield, but Swift's ADP is too high for any back that has to rely on the hot hand approach to get the majority of the volume in the backfield. Only he and Jim brown had a full career average of 5.0 ypc lifetime. Jacobs could easily wind up as a player who does a lot of work between the 20s with no meaningful fantasy production. Detroit signed Jamaal Williams to take the heavy work and kicked the tires on Todd Gurley before declining his addition. Williams can still be a great producer, but at his ADP, I won't be drafting him when he isn't getting the bulk of the touches. In no way am I saying Bettis should not be a hall of famer. Yeah, us, too. Sigmund Bloom: Anthony Lynn basically told us that he will run a committee of Swift and free agent pick Jamaal Williams when he called Williams his "A" back. To point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Jim Brown 2. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB13. Jason Wood: Ekeler can single-handedly carry a fantasy team for a week or two. Cohen is strictly limited to passing-down work, and the numbers suggest that he isn't outstanding in that role either. If he is still on the opening day roster, Gordon's workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. Jan 26 . These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another important key to a successful fantasy team. But I do not believe The Bus should be in the list of the top 40 RBs of all time. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. I believe it is more accurate to measure a RB by per season averages, because running backs such as Jim Brown did not play long. Swift also picked up bad footwork habits working alongside a different style of back in Adrian Peterson last year, opting for inefficient jump cuts that hurt his game. Chad Parsons: It's a crowded Jets depth chart, and assuming Carter rises to the top of a collection of similar profiles is overstated with his draft valuation. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. In 2012, Adrian Peterson ran for a near record-breaking 2,097 yards.. His ADP has been climbing recently, and while his price says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, he's still being overvalued at his current price. I have seen Bettis crack the top 20 and even top 10 of some lists, and this is inexplicable. Jeff Haseley: We know what Saquon Barkley is capable of, but we haven't seen him perform much in Jason Garrett's offense under Joe Judge's rule. Without the volume, he is hard to use. There's zero appeal here. Sigmund Bloom: Not that the Texans offense was anything you wanted to go near in fantasy drafts in the first place, but Johnson's ADP needs to adjust by multiple rounds to the news that he will be sharing the backfield with Phillip Lindsay and Mark Ingram II and no longer in the lead back role. He rewarded those believers with an RB18 PPG season. Pat Fitzmaurice: This is the type of player I won't draft at any cost. Zamir White is looking like a capable back and could eat into Jacobs' carries. Before his 2020 campaign, McKissic had never rushed for more than 205 yards in a season. His week one status is in doubt, and there are reports he may not be ready for 12-15 touch workloads until October. Ryan Hester: This isnt a knock on Harris, whose athletic profile and projected workload are things fantasy players dream of. That looks like a mistake from where the situation sits now. Lets take a look at the average Jerome Bettis season: 277 carries, 1051 yards, 3.9 YPC, 7 TDs. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. The team likes fourth-round pick Zamir White and passing down back Ameer Abdullah, and Kenyan Drake is still on the roster, so Jacobs is going to have trouble being consistent enough to merit an every-week RB2 start. Andrew Davenport: I've had ample opportunities to draft Gaskin and just haven't been able to do it. Therefore, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Miami will use a committee as none of the backs on the roster can handle the lead-back role. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Ben Cummins: Im a big fan of Antonio Gibsons talent, but he will have to overcome a lot of hurdles to pay off his current ADP. Victoria Geary: Sanders had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). Bursting onto the scene in our list is Micah Richards. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. Brown has more power and better acceleration and change-of-direction quickness than Gaskin, who is the better receiver. Draft capital is not a predictor of talent as much as a predictor of opportunity. McKissic is not your traditional committee back or injury-away dart throw for a big ceiling. Its a knock on his offensive line. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. This slideshow lists the most underrated and overrated quarterbacks, running backs and receivers in the NFL, and the choices might shock you. And even if he played all three downs, the target competition is strong (Davante Adams, Darren Waller, Hunter Renfrow).

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