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I'm not going out on a limb here with Hovland, as I'm sure he will be on many people's cards this week. 1 golfer in the world, will have to face off against the rest of the world's top-10 golfers, a group that is highlighted by Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa, Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas. Welcome back, RotoBallers, to my PGA DFS Pivots for DraftKings! This will likely make scoring difficult. Weather is very difficult to predict. Then again, Im searching for value at a major. Hes not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but hes also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. FOLLOW US ON Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. To date, his performance in run-of-the-mill PGA TOUR events greatly outpaces his work in the majors. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. Yes, Scottie Scheffler is on a heater, is No. His victory at the Wells Fargo was his second of the season, as he took home the hardware at the season opener, the Fortinet Championship. https://t.co/uldLYRZvRh, To-win: Daniel Berger, +5,000. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. This week, we shift our sights onto the Ocean Course at Kiawah Islandwhere the track measures at 7,876 yards for a par 72. As such, it will be important to trust some of the bigger hitters in the field, especially considering that the two Par-5 holes are both 630 yards or longer. The same can be said of Young. 1. There isnt a hotter golfer on the planet, except world No. However, since then, his best finish is a T-37 in 2020, so he will be looking for a bounce-back performance this year. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected . In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. Why not ride the wave early and catch Young while hes still a longshot and not offered as one of the favorites at an event like this? Overall, the field is absolutely stacked, so this will be fun to watch, especially come Sunday. Two of those were playoff losses to guys who arent exactly slouches (Spieth and Scheffler). And though he has yet to make a cut in his three major starts, hes poised to do so soon. $1,200 in Bonus Bets. In 14 starts this calendar year, Higgs has just one top-15 finish and five made cuts. The course plays differently than it has in the past, as the rough isn't as thick as it once was thanks to a course re-design in 2018. So, if he can blast some quality drives and make putts, he could be a surprise contender. As we make our way further down the board to find a mega-longshot, lets throw that idea directly out the window. Big Shot Bob and another expert contact hitter are among Paulie's longshot options for Southern Hills and the 2022 PGA. Over his last 24 rounds, he ranks fourth in ball striking, and second in strokes gained approach. Like I said, its my little escape from all this., Sounds lovely. 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. Critics say new PGA Tour events copy LIV. To-win: Cameron Smith, +2,000. Scheffler has knocked Jordan Spieth off the Texas golf throne with his stellar play these past few months. No golfer has won the PGA Championship more than Jack Nicklaus. (!!) Why not now? Sleeper pick: Matthew Wolff +12,500. He has made the cut in each of his eight tournaments since then, culminating in last week's T5 finish, which was his best career PGA TOUR . Rahm has finished top-10 in five of the past six majors, including a win at last years U.S. Open. Fifty-four holes, no cut, that's an easy life" -- Padraig Harrington. America East Tournament Odds: Vermont To Claim Consecutive Titles. McNealy has only missed the cut once since last years PGA Championship! Defending champion Collin Morikawa's betting odds are listed at +2800. Hes trending: Over his past three events, he tied for 10th at the Masters, tied for sixth at the Mexico Open, and tied for 38th at last weeks Byron Nelson. Either way, buckle up, because water and wind should make for plenty of drama come Sunday. Just like Noren, he finished 12th last week at the Byron Nelson, so he comes into this event in good form. Dodgers The Early Favorites For Shohei Ohtani? There are a few solid, mid-tier values on this week's card. Betting him as a top-10 finisher at +650 oddscould also be a profitable strategy. After missing the weekend at the Honda, he went on a run of five straight T-22 or better finishes in stroke-play events (including at T-14 at Augusta). If you like storylines entering a. Hes finished in the top 20 in four out of his past five starts and is fifthin "Strokes Gained: Total" over his past 24 rounds. If you're looking for picks that are a bit more daring,Keegan Bradley (+6500) and Cameron Young (+8000)each have the potential to outperform expectations. . Hes appeared at this event each year since 2013, making the cut a perfect 10 times with four top-11 finishes over that stretch. Kerry Haigh, the PGA of America's chief championships officer, can be credited for the rise of the PGA Championship as it continues to climb the ranks of best majors of the season. One of those two was the champion at this venue back in 2007 a golfer by the name Tiger Woods. Bezuidenhout is another player who excels in windy conditions. The 2022 edition of the PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills in Oklahoma. The list of top performers at the Arnold Palmer Invitational reads like a list of major champions and annual major contenders. Still, Hovland is plenty good enough in that category he ranks 28th to have a quality outing in this major. For just $0.83/month, get an ad-free experience and access to RotoBaller's VIP Discord Chat Community, If you can't subscribe, please consider turning off your adblocker for RotoBaller.com. In his two starts at major championships, Higgs has finished in the top 15. Read below for our favorite sleepers and longshots in the outright, T10 and T20 markets. Tiger Woods Made Jordan Spieth Feel Bad About Missing Masters Cut, Most PGA Championship wins in golf history, Tiger, Rory, and Spieth form all-star group at the PGA Championship, Scottie Schefflers post-Masters celebration was all-time white New Balance dad energy. Spieths finishes since the Masters feature a win and a solo second, so his game is shaping up. Can he repeat his success at the tour's next major, the 2022 PGA Championship? In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! Below, we search for value in the odds and target five sleepers and long-shot picks to win the 2021 PGA Championship. The 2021 PGA Championship Fantasy Sleeper Report Before placing any golf wagers, we consider many, many different variables, but sometimes it's the 'sleeper' factors that inform an event winner. Note: prices listed below available at a major U.S. sportsbooks as of writing Monday evening. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU, Congrats @tenndolly2 ?? John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +1,800. Noren rounded out his AT&T Byron Nelson effort with an 8-under 64 and quietly added to what has been a fantastic season. His form in 2021 has also been inconsistent, but he finished 10th at the Arnold Palmer and 14th at Wells Fargo, so he has it in him to be in contention. In GPPs I like the idea of having a few shares of Woods he can grind and scramble his way around. The PGA Championship will be played at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Okla. Scheffler not only had an impressive practice round at Southern Hills recently, he also says its one of his favorite courses. Xander Schauffele 6. This new app will help, Fortinet Championship odds: Two stars lead favorites at PGA Tour season opener, Tour Championship odds: Scottie Scheffler favored to win fifth title of the season, BMW Championship odds: Rory McIlroy still the betting favorite despite missed cut, FedEx St. Jude Championship odds: Rory McIlroy leads betting favorites for playoff opener, Wyndham Championship odds: Shane Lowry is betting favorite for regular-season finale. Mandatory Credit: Andrew Wevers-USA TODAY Sports. In 2018, he finished secondat both the Open Championship and at the U.S. Open. PGA Championship sleepers One sleeper McClure is targeting this week at Southern Hills is Cameron Young, who is a massive 80-1 long shot at Caesars. Think like a pro, bet like a pro, win like a pro. The 2019 U.S. Open champion is finally healthy after battling injuries the last two years, and his play is indicative of such. Champ offers tremendous value if the public is on to something, so lets zoom in. Mickelson won't be participating in the event in 2022, so there will be a new champion by the end of the weekend. Hovlands game declined some as it got closer to April and finished in a disappointing 27th place at The Masters. And this is no knock against him. Southern Hills bears little resemblance to last years PGA Championship venue at Kiawah, but if the wind blows as expected in Tulsa this week, Higgs might be able to squeak his way up the leaderboard playing a similar style as his T4 finish at the Ocean Course. Bradley arrives at Southern Hills with four top-10 finishes in his last six starts, including a solo fifth in the strongest field of the year at the Players Championship. His recent success has him leading the world in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green over the last 30 days. Historically strong with the putter in hand, Young has run into a speed bump on the greens the last month, but if that club comes around in Tulsa, Young should find his name on the first page of the leaderboard. While he has struggled on the PGA Tour, he displayed good form finishing in 14th-place at The Masters in April. Southern Hills itself has changed plenty, with a renovation undertaken in that time. Sleeper pick: Robert MacIntyre, +15,000. PGA Championship 2021: Odds for Sleepers and Favorites at Kiawah Island Joe Tansey May 17, 2021 Jacob Kupferman/Associated Press Five first-time men's golf major winners have been crowned in. Part III of @GOLF_com's golf gambling series! We had a 50-year-old win the PGA last year, so why cant a 49-year-old get it done this week? The four-time Tour winners history at major championships is worrisome, with his best finish coming at the 2021 Open (T-40). Yang stunned the world with his come-from-behind victory over Tiger Woods at Hazeltine National in 2009, and he is not alone when it comes to those who have emerged from obscurity. That won't be easy. That will make strokes gained off the tee (SG:OTT) one of the most important metrics for evaluating this field. He lost more than seven strokes putting in his latest start. Fitzpatrick is an excellent player from tee to green but ranks 47th in one-putt percentage. For a guy who has popped up routinely throughout his career, it speaks to the quality of play from Harold Varner III to say that hes been playing perhaps the best golf of his career. The PGA Championship produced a first-time major winner five times since 2013. If there's any golfer in the world who can flip the switch and dominate, it's Johnson. At one point last year, he gained strokes around the green in nine straight events. Hes played like a top-30 player in the world over the last six months by Strokes Gained, leading to eight top-15 finishes this season. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, 7 interesting gear finds inside Tommy Fleetwoods golf bag | Bag Spy, Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). Yeah, that came at Augusta National. Shane Lowry (+2800)is fresh off a top-three finish at the 2022 Masters and looks poised to do well on this course. List ranks top-20 in many of the key categories for the demanding test in store at Bay Hill, including Driving Distance, SG: OTT, Prox 200+ and Par-4: 450-500. Try these Birdie Juice-flavored tee picks, Quench your thirst on or off the course with this spiked beverage, Arnold Palmer Invitational betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at Bay Hill, 1 parlay we love and picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Shriners Children's Open picks: 4 bets we love this week in Las Vegas, Sanderson Farms Championship picks: 4 bets we love this week in Mississippi, Sanderson Farms Championship odds: Presidents Cuppers among betting favorites this week, Need help computing (and paying!) He has gained strokes on approach in four out of his last five events. To-win: Jon Rahm, +1,200. He has five titles to his name, one more than Tiger Woods' four. At The Players Championship, the understood tee time advantage did not play out and fantasy players who stacked the opposite wave made a lot of money. 2022 PGA Championship viewers guide: Tee times, TV schedule, streaming, how to watch, Love transfusion cocktails? Sleeper pick: Cameron Young, +8,000. Even though it's located in South Carolina, the Ocean Course plays similar to a European-style links course. He has made the cut in each of his last eight starts including a 12th place finish last week in which he gained strokes in all four major categories (his 4th top 12 in 2022). With an emphasis on ball-striking approach play in particular along with the ability to play well around the green, lets take a look at five sleepers who could make noise at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa this week. Keegan Bradley in 2011, Jimmy Walker in 2016 even last year at Kiawah Island, Phil Mickelson was hardly on anyone's radar -- and if someone says otherwise, that person is likely lying. Taking sleeper picks is. But every so often you see a Cameron Champ, a name that makes you almost wonder: What does everyone else know that I dont? In order to score well at Southern Hills,. Throughout the course of the past decade and a half, the PGA Championship has seen its fair share of shocking winners. That said, the presence of these elites has pushed quality players to a discounted odds range, creating some appealing value if any of the elites falter. The course is a rather long one at 7,556 yardsand plays to a par of 70. By our count, 44 of the world's top-50 players will make the trip to Orlando - including all 13 winners of PGA TOUR events so far this term. Early Redraft Sleepers to Target (2023 Fantasy Football) James Cook (RB - BUF) The rookie running back, known for his pass-catching, produced some hype last offseason after landing in an . Noren thrives on and around the greens, but his ball-striking numbers are finally starting to follow suit. The 30-year-old Englishmen has underperformed this year for how well he has played. 1 value play in the event. Meanwhile,Tiger Woods (+6500)ranks lower than usual among the field as he looks to return to form in his second event back from a 2021 car crash that left him with severe injuries. He has finished in the top three in both of his last two outings, with seven top-20 finishes this season. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. Some of the game's biggest names, including Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, and Jon Rahm, have added wins. He finished in a tie for third the following year but has not factored in a major since. And youll find few whove shown more consistency here than Bradley. Some of the best have bigger numbers than usual, and Shane McNichol has picked five of his favorites. Which one is the best for you? 2022 PGA Championship viewer's guide: Tee times, TV schedule, streaming, how to watch By: Kevin Cunningham He's trending: Over his past three events, he tied for 10th at the Masters, tied for. His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. Its so hard to get close to the pins because the greens are not large, and theyre compartmentalized, Myers told Golf Digest. Only two of that crop are being offered at odds lower than +10000 at most sportsbooks. This week, the course will play 300 yards longer, and its fairways much wider. The best players in the world, aside from Bryson DeChambeau who. Four top fives this season, two of which have come in his past two starts. This isnt the same Southern Hills where Tiger won in 2007. All of these things put together should bode well for the European golfers who are used to playing on these courses and in these conditions. He may not be the best course fit, with his chipping being a weakness, but that is more than factored into this juicy price. 4 Potential PGA TOUR Golf Sleeper Picks: BMW Championship DFS Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022 The second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs takes us to Wilmington, Delaware for the first time in PGA TOUR history, as we head to the South course at Wilmington Country Club for potential longshot BMW Championship picks.