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Raphael Warnock of Georgia, Mark Kelly of Arizona and Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada are all rated Toss-ups, while Sen. Maggie Hassan 's race in New Hampshire is . That poll . The state has shifted right since Johnson's 3.4% win in 2016, and on paper, he chould be well positioned to win as a Republican running in a midterm with a Democratic president with low approval ratings. More:'He doesn't understand medicine is a science': Ron Johnson escalates 'guerrilla war' against medical establishment, More:Here are the 11 Democrats in Wisconsin's 2022 U.S. Senate race who are seeking to unseat Ron Johnson. Mandela Barnes in a swing-state face off that could become one of the most competitive races of the midterms. Trump is quite unpopular here. And the dividing lines over Johnson have deepened since he was last on the ballot in 2016. 2023 www.jsonline.com. But hes got to execute on a winning message, and if we look at the numbers and the data, we know he hasnt been executing on a winning message.. Ronald Harold Johnson (Republican Party) is a member of the U.S. Senate from Wisconsin. 36% of Wisconsin voters approved of Johnson's job performance and 51% disapproved in the fourth quarter of 2021. That conversation starts with Sen. Doug Jones, who comes in at No. Yet, even though his net approval rating has long been underwater, he easily won reelection in 2020 thanks to Kentuckys overwhelming Republican lean. A trio of red-state Democrats Kentuckys Andy Beshear, Kansass Laura Kelly and Louisianas John Bel Edwards all have PARGs between +31 and +51 as well. Accordingly, he leads all senators with a +35 PARS. Johnson's campaign had raised more than $17 million by July 20, compared with $7 million raised by Barnes though Barnes' campaign said on Aug. 1 that it raised $1.1 million in just a week, after his Democratic rivals united behind him. People are more polarized over Johnson by party, by ideology, by gender and other measures. Fifty-one percent of voters disapprove of his performance, including 56 . Jon Tester (+33 PARS) and Sherrod Brown (+20 PARS), who have managed to win multiple elections despite hailing from red states. The question is whether or not hell focus on the winning message, whether or not people will respond, or whether those negative numbers are so baked in, he said. Evers, by contrast, had a net positive rating, with 48% approving of the job he did and 45% disapproving. So, its not a short-term fluctuation, but a strong trend, said pollster Charles Franklin, who provided the data used here. But Democratic Gov. Besides touting Republican wins on regulatory relief, strengthening the military and tax cuts, Johnson used his rollout to hit the Biden administrations failed response to the COVID-19 pandemic, crime rates and the rising cost of living all issues that give Democrats heartburn. Wisconsin is over and over the one percentage point or less state the land of the nail-biter, said Ben Wikler, chair of the Democratic Party of Wisconsin. Johnson's approval ratings have decreased in the last few years, according to polling by the Marquette Law School. According to FiveThirtyEights presidential approval tracker,5 41.4 percent of Americans approve of the job Biden is doing as president, while 52.6 percent disapprove (a net approval rating of -11.2 points). Then we compared Johnsons current standing among these groups with two earlier periods in his 12-year Senate career: 2019, when he enjoyed his best-sustained ratings in Marquettes polling; and late 2015 to early 2016, which was Johnsons low point in popularity before now. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. Democrats are banking on Johnsons unpopularity to give them an edge in one of the only contests this year where they stand a chance of knocking off a Republican incumbent as they defend a narrow Senate majority. How Every Senator And Governor Ranks According To Popularity Above Replacement, reinstate former President Donald Trumps account, What The 20 Republicans Who Voted Against Kevin McCarthy Have In Common. That gap is significantly bigger than it was from 2013 to 2019. Governor Rebecca Kleefisch. Get this delivered to your inbox, and more info about our products and services. More money is expected to flow into the race as the candidates barrel toward the November general election. Adding to the bad news for Johnson is that his approval rating continues to be at an all-time low with just 37% of registered voters saying they approve of him and 46% saying they disapprove. Toward the bottom of the list are five governors running for reelection whose approval ratings dont look as strong as they seem after taking partisan lean into account. Steve Sisolak of Nevada also has a distinct personal brand that could help him weather a tough reelection campaign in purple Nevada. Mandela Barnes in the general election in Wisconsin, NBC News projected. Most Americans are sickened by Joe Biden as much as they are sickened by Donald Trump. How Daniel Kelly worked with the GOP to fuel election denialism. Frankly, who cares what you think about Biden, the real question about your thinking is: Do you really believe voters are equally sickened by Biden as they truly are with Trump? Sign-in to take full advantage of your membership, including an ad-free website and improved browsing experience. The 2022 Kansas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Kansas, with primary elections taking place on August 2, 2022. 2022 Senate Elections (51) Any off-year election is going to be a referendum on Joe Biden, which is why its going to be a really difficult year for Democrats in places like Wisconsin, said former Wisconsin radio host Charlie Sykes, an early proponent of Johnson during his 2010 bid whos, and the Trump-inspired GOP. Several hugely divisive events have occurred since 2019, however: the GOP effort to decertify the 2020 election; the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol; and the pandemic that began in early 2020. 56% of independent voters in . That suggests she has a bit of crossover appeal, but that her fate is still closely tied to partisanship. I've done a really good job as Wisconsin's United States senator," he told Milwaukee television station WISN. Johnson, a Republican and staunch ally of Donald Trump, enjoys the approval of 45% of Trump votersthough a considerable 31% of Trump voters . According to the latest figures, taken from surveys conducted among 10,496 registered Wisconsin voters between Oct. 1 and Dec. 31, 36 percent of Badger State voters approved of his job performance, 51 percent disapproved and 13 percent had no opinion. > Less popular senator: Republican Sen. Ron Johnson > Q4 2019 approval rating: 41.0% > Least popular House member: Republican Rep. Bryan Steil, 1st District His current term ends on January 3, 2029. Johnson, 67, has also been a magnet for criticism from Democrats who say he has spread harmful conspiracy theories about the . . 2 in PARS with a score of +33. In fact, senators from the party out of power (i.e., the party opposed to the sitting president . Angus King and Bernie Sanders are considered Democrats for the purposes of these calculations. Republican Sen. Susan Collins is another senator who hopes to overcome the partisan lean of her state (Maine is 5 points more Democratic-leaning than the nation) to win reelection. In a June 2022 poll, 37% of voters viewed the senator favorably and 46% viewed . Bemis, a major plastics manufacturer, had appointed Howard Curler as its CEO in 1978, and during the first several years of PACUR's existence, Bemis was the business' sole client. Raphael Warnock, Mark Kelly, Maggie Hassan and Catherine Cortez Masto all have PARS scores of at least +7, suggesting that they are capable of outperforming the base partisanship of their state. Senator Ron Johnson against his top challengers, which show Johnson a bit behind three of the four Democratic challengers, and a similar matchup of incumbent Democratic Gov. Figures may not add up to 100% due to rounding. If the same state had a Republican senator with the same approval rating, the PARS would be -5 (2-7= -5). Ron Johnson's approval ratings are underwater in a swing state that President Joe Biden won. Free shipping for many products! She pointed to tax breaks he supported that benefited big donors to his campaigns and his comments about vaccines and the 2020 election as chief examples. Several conservatives involved in the state argued that Johnson casting himself as foe of Biden and the national Democratic brand could help shore up his intraparty standing. In the head-to-head matchups for U.S. Johnsons decline in popularity since 2019 has occurred among almost all groups. The questions are: What happens to the political environment is it good enough that it can lift him over the top? But it has also been pronounced among some more politically mixed groups that arent as lopsidedly red or blue. House Republicans want to repeal Biden's Inflation Reduction Act. Quantity: Last One. We want to hear from you. In an interview with CNN, Barnes said Johnson turned his back on working people. Johnson repeatedly referred to Barnes as radical, posting a tweet calling him the Democratic Partys most radical left candidate. The race has become one of the most highly anticipated races in the November election, as both parties attempt to tip the 50-50 stalemate in the Senate (Vice President Kamala Harris is the tiebreaker). Ditch the ads, get free stuff. Their four most vulnerable incumbents this fall Sens. The November race for U.S. Senate will match incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson against the winner of the August Democratic primary. After he was elected in 2020 to serve out the remainder of the late John McCain's (R-AZ) term, Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ) is seeking a full term this year. Ron Johnson is America's second least popular senator after only Mitch (Photo by Caroline Brehman/CQ Roll Call via AP Images), Biden throws out Trump energy policy that added millions of tons of carbon pollution, Madison Cawthorn caught breaking the law again, Marjorie Taylor Greene pledges bill to criminalize gender-affirming care in CPAC speech, Republicans lawmakers show off their awards from anti-LGBTQ Family Research Council. Shaded rows denote senators whose seats are up in 2020, excluding those senators who are not seeking reelection. Sen. Ron Johnson is commonly referred to as one of the country's most unpopular U.S. senators. The governors race in Rhode Island could be a sleeper, though, considering Gov. The United States of America has 100 senators, and all are constantly under public scrutiny. Tony Earlagainst his four potential Republican challengers, with Evers leading all four and Kleefisch running closest to the governor. Voters do not. That will be essential in a year when, based solely on partisan lean and generic congressional ballot polling, youd expect a Republican to win their home states, all else being equal. More: The fight over Ron Johnson's US Senate seat will put Wisconsin back in the national spotlight in 2022. Sykes agreed the Democratic Party has what it takes to pull off a victory, but warned that a lot of what happens in November may be out of their control. If the same state had a Republican senator with the same approval rating, the PARS would be -5 . You must be an Urban Milwaukee member to leave a comment. The survey released Wednesday found slipping approval ratings for Democratic Gov. But his moderation has endeared him to voters in his home state of West Virginia: He has a +22 net approval rating in the R+36 state, for a chamber-leading PARS of +58. Johnson (Republican Party) ran for re-election to the U.S. Senate to represent Wisconsin.He won in the general election on November 8, 2022.. Johnson was first elected to the Senate in 2010 when he defeated incumbent Sen. Russ . Find many great new & used options and get the best deals for 1978 Topps Baseball (501-726) Pick from List EX-NM at the best online prices at eBay! Chris Sununus net approval rating is +30, so he is expected to comfortably win reelection. A few weeks after the 2020 election, the Crystal Ball put out an early look at the 2022 Senate races. His race is expected to be very competitive. The poll also did head-to-head matchups of incumbent Republican U.S. One month ago, Biden had an approval rating of 42.2 percent and a disapproval rating of 52.2 percent, for a net approval rating of -10.0 points. These are some takeaways from a detailed analysis of nearly a decade of polling on Johnson by the Marquette Law School. Price: US $0.99. Adding to the bad news for Johnson is that his approval rating continues to be at an all-time low with just 37% of registered voters saying they approve of him and 46% saying they disapprove. @baseballot, 2022 Election (348 posts) In fact, the only current senator with a lower approval rating is Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, who has infamously blocked hundreds of popular pieces of legislation. Governor Mandela Barnes, and even tighter in the Republican primary for governor, with businessman Tim Michelsin a near-tie with former Lt. Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wisc.) Abstract The modern civilization is the antithesis of religious way of life. ", "It's not like we don't have enough jobs here in Wisconsin," he told reporters in February. 2023 Morning Consult, All Rights Reserved. Angus King and Bernie Sanders are considered Democrats for these calculations. Post author: Charles Franklin; Post published: August 17, 2022; Post category: Poll Release . Pay no attention to countless testimonies? Senators, behind Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania (36%) and Mitch McConnell of Kentucky (33%), according to an April 2022 report from Morning Consult. 772 days 4 . It began in the age of enlightment (renaissance). The two-term senator has real political strengths: incumbency, an enthusiastic GOP base and the political tailwinds of running in a midterm election against the party of the president. All rights reserved. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsin's Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. Barnes had been a community activist after college, and served in the Wisconsin State Assembly before becoming lieutenant governor. Help assure the future of citys fastest growing publication. Approval ratings of the incumbent Democratic Governor, Ralph Northam, have dropped 10 points to 49%, which is still better than the average drop of 14.38% for Democratic governors. The governor got 48% of the vote to 41% for Michels, 48% versus 40% for Nicholson, and 48% versus 41% for Ramthun.